Now that infections are dispersed around the country, travel from New York is no longer a main factor shaping the progression of the epidemic, researchers said.As states around the nation begin to relax their restrictions, the findings demonstrate that it is difficult, if not impossible, to prevent those actions from affecting the rest of the nation.Geneticists have analyzed and shared more than 2,000 samples of the virus from infected people. Case Clusters From Gatherings ... that New York was the primary gateway for the rest of the country,” said Nathan Grubaugh, an epidemiologist at … The number of cases across the country was closely related to how many travelers each place received from New York in early March, based on anonymized cellphone tracking data from Cuebiq, a data intelligence company.“It looks like most of the domestic spread is basically people traveling out from New York,” said Dr. Kari Stefansson, founder and chief executive of deCODE Genetics, a leading genome analysis firm based in Reykjavik, Iceland.Last week, Dr. Andersen of Scripps Research and other scientists analyzing the outbreak in New Orleans reported that all of the samples taken from New Orleans were from the line linked back to New York. Thank you.” A Skewed View at R.N.C. “The picture emerging is consistent with numerical models.”Earlier research by Dr. Vespignani showed just how rapidly, and invisibly, the outbreak exploded in New York. How New Yorkers View The Rest Of The Country: Help Us Fill Out This Map!
But travel patterns and case histories of early known cases support the idea, they said.“It is a combination, still, of what genomic epidemiology and shoe-leather epidemiology is going to tell us,” Dr. Engelthaler said.Scientists modeling the progression of the disease nationally said the prominence of New York as a national hub was broadly consistent with their findings, although the picture was still emerging.“I would say this is not surprising in a sense,” said Alessandro Vespignani, director of the Network Science Institute at Northeastern University in Boston. “I rely on your reporting to engage more thoughtfully with my community. By submitting your information, you're agreeing to receive communications from New York Public Radio in accordance with our The virus swept through the area in March and has killed more than 1,000 people.“You can figure out, with travel patterns, that the most likely thing to have happened is those came into New Orleans directly from New York,” Dr. Grubaugh said.Josh Holder, Michael Crowley and Derek Watkins contributed reporting.Travel From New York City Seeded Wave of U.S. Outbreaksassociated with the outbreak in New York City, shown in redassociated with the outbreak in Washington State, shown in yellowassociated with the outbreak in New York City, shown in redassociated with the outbreak in Washington State, shown in yellowassociated with the outbreak in New York City, shown in redassociated with the outbreak in Washington State, shown in yellowResearch showed that by March 1, when the first coronavirus case was confirmed in New York, the city probably had over 10,000 undetected infections. It’s not somebody else’s fault, it’s our own fault.”Dani Lever, communications director for Gov. View of the World from 9th Avenue is a classic map/illustration showing how New Yorkers see the rest of the world. Those spreading from Washington State have a signature linking them directly to China.At this stage, scientists say, genetic fingerprints alone are not sufficient for pinpointing the source of the viruses. Gothamist is a website about New York City news, arts and events, and food, brought to you by New York Public Radio. The map shows how New Yorkers might see the rest of the world if they faced west on 9th Avenue. It is possible, experts said, that some of the virus samples attributed to New York may have instead been seeded in other cities by direct flights from Europe, or from travelers laying over in New York before traveling elsewhere.For that reason, some scientists said they would like to see more samples before linking the majority of infections in the United States to New York.“I think that’s probably the story line that’s going to emerge, but I’d like to see more data,” said Harm van Bakel, a geneticist at Mount Sinai in New York.A New York Times analysis of travel data supports the idea that the chains of infection originated in New York, experts said. These mutations typically do not change the behavior of the virus, but they can provide a signature of a virus’s origin.Most samples taken in Texas, Ohio, Louisiana, Idaho, Wisconsin and many other states carry distinct mutations that can be traced back to viruses introduced into New York.Over all, Dr. Grubaugh estimated, infections spreading from New York account for 60 to 65 percent of the sequenced viruses across the country.Other scientists said that they would like to see more samples before calculating precise figures. Andrew M. Cuomo, criticized federal authorities, describing an “enormous failure by the federal government to leave New York and the East Coast exposed to flights from Europe, while at the same time instilling a false sense of security by telling the State of New York that we had no Covid cases throughout the entire month of February.”A White House spokesman, Judd Deere, said that Mr. Trump had acted quickly. The analysis, whose conclusions are outlined in The New York Times today, shows New York was the “primary gateway” through which the virus spread to the rest of the country.. By March 1, when the first coronavirus case was confirmed in New York, the city probably had New York and Washington State are not the only sources of the outbreak. That’s not true. The president blocked most visitors from Europe starting on March 13, more than a month after he restricted travel from China.“Just as he acted early on to cut off travel from the source of the virus, President Trump was advised by his health and infectious disease experts that he should cut off travel from Europe — an action he took decisively without delay to save lives while Democrats and the media criticized him and the global health community still did not fully comprehend the level of transmission or spread,” Mr. Deere said.The travel that helped spread the virus includes New York residents who left the city and non-New Yorkers who visited or passed through the city.
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